Note: Upcomers Conviction is a simulated evaluation account. You trade binary YES/NO questions on real-world events. This is prop-firm simulated trading, not real-money betting.
This is Conviction. The premium way to trade real-world outcomes on an Upcomers simulated funded account. One step. Higher caps. More room to size up.
No daily drawdown. No minimum trading days. Payout cycle every 14 days.
Key benefits:
9% profit target, one step
5% static drawdown from initial balance (fixed, never moves)
80% profit split to you
No daily drawdown
No minimum trading days to pass the evaluation
Higher event caps and exposure limits than Signals
Payout cycle every 14 calendar days
Who Is Conviction For?
Traders who back their reads and want more room to act on them.
You want a fixed line in the sand. A 5% static drawdown that never moves with your profits, so you always know exactly where the breach level sits.
You want to size up. Higher per-question caps, higher related-event caps and higher open exposure than the accessible tier.
You want the higher payout ceiling. Conviction carries a larger max payout-eligible profit per cycle at every account size.
This is the premium Prediction Markets account. More flexibility. More conviction per position. Same simple one-step structure.
The Rules
Parameter | Conviction |
Product type | 1-step Prediction Markets evaluation |
Account sizes | $5,000 / $10,000 / $25,000 / $50,000 / $100,000 |
Profit target | 9% |
Funded-stage target | None |
Profit split | 80% to the trader |
Payout cycle | Every 14 calendar days |
Max drawdown | 5% static from initial balance |
Daily drawdown | None |
Min trading days (evaluation) | 0 (none) |
Per-question profit cap | 4% of initial balance |
Related-event profit cap | 6% of initial balance |
Max exposure per question | 5% of initial balance |
Max total open exposure | 12% of initial balance |
Prediction Markets only. One step to funded. Zero surprises.
5% Static Drawdown Explained
Your breach level is fixed at 5% below your initial balance. It never moves, no matter how much profit you make.
Example on a $100,000 account:
The level is fixed at $95,000. It does not trail upward with profit. If equity falls below $95,000, the account is breached.
Scenario | Equity | Breach Level | Status |
Start | $100,000 | $95,000 | Active |
Profit +$4,000 | $104,000 | $95,000 | Still $95K |
Loss -$4,000 | $96,000 | $95,000 | Safe |
Loss -$5,500 | $94,500 | $95,000 | BREACH |
Unlike a trailing drawdown, your breach level does not chase your profits. You always know exactly where the line is.
There is no daily drawdown on Conviction. Equity is marked to market continuously and feeds the standard Upcomers breach pipeline.
Profit Caps and Exposure Limits
Conviction gives you more room than Signals, but caps still apply so profit stays balanced and countable.
Per-question profit cap: 4%. The most profit you can count from one single question. On a $100,000 account that is $4,000 of countable profit from one question.
Related-event profit cap: 6%. Multiple questions tied to the same real-world event or a materially correlated result may be grouped and capped together. On a $100,000 account that group can count up to $6,000.
Max exposure per question: 5%. On a $100,000 account, up to $5,000 open on any single question.
Max total open exposure: 12%. On a $100,000 account, up to $12,000 open across all your positions at once.
Profit above a cap is non-countable: it is excluded from profit-target progress, payout eligibility and withdrawable profit. Losses always count in full. Over-cap profit cannot push you over the profit target. For the full breakdown of caps, related-event grouping and abnormal-market rules, see the Prediction Markets Risk Limits article.
Payouts
Payouts are available every 14 calendar days once your payout cycle is complete and all eligibility conditions are met. You keep 80% of payout-eligible profit.
Conviction carries the higher payout-eligible profit cap per cycle. These figures are before the 80% split.
Account size | Max payout-eligible profit / cycle |
$5,000 | $250 |
$10,000 | $500 |
$25,000 | $1,250 |
$50,000 | $3,000 |
$100,000 | $5,000 |
How the 80% split works: $1,250 payout-eligible profit pays you $1,000. $3,000 pays you $2,400. $5,000 pays you $4,000.
To qualify for a payout you need at least 3 profitable trading days in the cycle, each generating at least 0.25% of the initial balance, with your largest profitable day no more than 40% of the payout-cycle profit, and no rule breaches. For the complete eligibility checklist, see the Payouts article.
Conviction vs Signals
Signals is the accessible tier. Conviction is the premium tier, with more flexibility and higher caps.
Feature | Conviction (premium) | Signals (accessible) |
Drawdown | 5% static | 3% trailing |
Per-question profit cap | 4% | 3% |
Related-event profit cap | 6% | 4% |
Max exposure per question | 5% | 3% |
Max total open exposure | 12% | 8% |
Profit target | 9% | 9% |
Profit split | 80% | 80% |
Payout cycle | Every 14 days | Every 14 days |
Max payout-eligible / cycle ($100k) | $5,000 | $4,000 |
Same simple one-step structure. More room to trade with conviction.
General Rules Notice
This product, like all Upcomers programs, is subject to our standard trading rules and policies. These include our framework on prohibited strategies and our guidelines on responsible trading and gambling-style behavior, both of which apply across all our challenges, funded accounts and Prediction Markets products.
We recommend reviewing both articles before you begin trading:
Prohibited strategies: https://help.upcomers.com/en/articles/8703143-what-trading-strategies-are-prohibited-at-upcomers
Rules restricting gambling: https://help.upcomers.com/en/articles/11484528-rules-restricting-gambling
Conviction. One step. Higher caps. Trade real-world outcomes with more room to move.