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Prediction Markets Payouts: Cycle, Eligibility and Caps

The 14-day payout cycle, 80% split, eligibility rules and per-cycle caps.

Note: Upcomers Prediction Markets are fully simulated evaluation accounts. Payouts follow the funded-stage rules below.

You get paid every 14 days. You keep 80% of your eligible profit. Simple cycle, clear rules, no surprises.

This article covers everything about payouts on Upcomers Signals and Upcomers Conviction: the cycle, the split, the eligibility checklist, the caps, and when a payout can be held.


The 14-Day Payout Cycle

Payouts run on a fixed cycle. Every 14 calendar days, your account reaches a payout window.

There are no minimum trading days to PASS the evaluation. Hit the 9% profit target and you clear it. The 3-profitable-days rule below is a funded-stage payout requirement only. It does not apply to passing.


The 80% Profit Split

You keep 80% of your payout-eligible profit. The rest is our share.

Here is how the split works on real numbers:

Payout-eligible profit

You receive (80%)

$1,000

$800

$2,500

$2,000

$5,000

$4,000


Payout Eligibility Checklist

To release a payout, all of the following must be true:

  • The 14 calendar day payout cycle is complete.

  • The account is in profit.

  • At least 3 profitable trading days in the cycle.

  • Each qualifying profitable day generated at least 0.25% profit of the initial balance.

  • The largest profitable day is no more than 40% of the payout-cycle profit.

  • No breach of drawdown, exposure, or prohibited-practice rules.

  • All relevant event outcomes are settled and verified.

  • KYC and account verification complete where required.


The 3 Profitable Days Rule

A payout needs at least 3 profitable trading days in the cycle, and each of those days must clear a minimum: 0.25% of your initial balance.

A tiny green day does not count as a qualifying day. Here is the minimum a day must produce to qualify, by account size:

Account size

Minimum qualifying day (0.25%)

$5,000

$12.50

$10,000

$25

$25,000

$62.50

$50,000

$125

$100,000

$250


The 40% Largest-Day Cap

Consistency matters. Your single largest profitable day may count for no more than 40% of your total payout-cycle profit. Profit above that share from that one day may be excluded from payout-eligible profit.

Example: your payout-cycle profit is $4,000. Your largest profitable day may count at most $1,600 (40% of $4,000). Anything above $1,600 from that single day may be excluded.

This keeps payouts tied to steady trading rather than one lucky outcome.


Max Payout-Eligible Profit Per Cycle

Each 14-day cycle has a cap on how much profit is payout-eligible. The cap depends on your product and account size. These figures are before the 80% split.

Account size

Signals

Conviction

$5,000

$200

$250

$10,000

$400

$500

$25,000

$1,000

$1,250

$50,000

$2,500

$3,000

$100,000

$4,000

$5,000


At Least 1% Countable Profit

Withdrawable profit is limited to countable profit. You need at least 1% of the segment-start balance in countable profit before a payout can be released.

Countable profit is your profit that sits within the per-question and related-event caps. Losses always count in full. Profit above a cap is non-countable and does not count toward this requirement.


Event Settlement Holds

Payouts settle on verified outcomes. A payout may be held until all relevant outcomes in the cycle are settled and verified.

This applies especially to:

  • Politics and elections

  • Sports

  • Crypto price outcomes

  • Macro events

  • Multi-outcome events

  • Markets under dispute or with delayed resolution

We never guess an outcome. Each contract settles at 1.00 if your side matches the confirmed result, otherwise 0.00, using the underlying market source as the authority. If a result is not yet confirmed, we wait until it is.


General Rules Notice

This product, like all Upcomers programs, is subject to our standard trading rules and policies. These include our framework on prohibited strategies and our guidelines on responsible trading and gambling-style behavior, both of which apply across all our challenges, funded accounts, and Prediction Markets.

We recommend reviewing both articles before you begin trading:


Every 14 days. 80% to you. Verified outcomes only.

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